Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 11.327812 12.606022 13.982997 15.578873 17.380318 19.353992 21.684412
2025-07-20 9.693998 11.525287 13.647952 16.300266 19.539658 23.384995 28.321459
2025-07-27 8.352970 10.493794 13.132594 16.648152 21.244530 27.098335 35.195556
2025-08-03 7.172860 9.438103 12.379091 16.518142 22.258554 30.034810 41.530568
2025-08-10 6.236890 8.539016 11.664823 16.279511 23.021212 32.670525 47.818326
2025-08-17 5.491398 7.783754 11.021108 16.007391 23.638857 35.118642 54.157832
2025-08-24 4.915980 7.187846 10.511655 15.831590 24.327456 37.707672 61.065980
2025-08-31 4.469013 6.721830 10.126061 15.771173 25.149809 40.569557 68.827731
2025-09-07 4.189752 6.474584 10.035981 16.147439 26.699343 44.796679 79.598366
2025-09-14 3.848143 6.089599 9.680195 16.031768 27.381904 47.602761 88.228029
2025-09-21 3.509135 5.672959 9.225693 15.685877 27.598279 49.575986 95.560577
2025-09-28 3.249873 5.362446 8.914199 15.546957 28.156762 52.231240 104.662965
2025-10-05 3.114594 5.255847 8.950866 16.057557 30.035457 57.765713 120.959836
2025-10-12 2.986816 5.150284 8.978794 16.556135 31.963400 63.706729 139.381050
2025-10-19 2.831221 4.979928 8.871613 16.781325 33.371128 68.786899 156.903278
2025-10-26 2.635877 4.718709 8.569750 16.584901 33.871162 71.978982 170.563694
2025-11-02 2.450969 4.460620 8.249018 16.312277 34.167952 74.755958 183.766362
2025-11-09 2.282265 4.218943 7.937524 16.022957 34.386963 77.381855 197.136786
2025-11-16 2.140779 4.018228 7.688591 15.838542 34.818318 80.578979 212.768989
2025-11-23 2.024118 3.856869 7.504227 15.773783 35.519255 84.549695 231.502333
2025-11-30 1.959265 3.794105 7.516267 16.147841 37.324676 91.630077 261.135115
2025-12-07 1.854187 3.640335 7.323440 16.031006 37.899236 95.562989 282.039234
2025-12-14 1.737750 3.453992 7.045227 15.684549 37.844636 97.777509 297.976718